Head-to-head evidence

tofacitinib vs upadacitinib

Same mechanism, same race: design-graded trial evidence for both assets, with the grading rationale shown. Grades describe the quality of the evidence, never the merits of either security.

Rheumatoid Arthritis

Shared mechanism: JAK · full Rheumatoid Arthritis pipeline

tofacitinib · Xeljanz

Marketed by Pfizer

Approved in Rheumatoid ArthritisSmall molecule (pan-JAK inhibitor)
Weak signal

NCT01262118 · Phase 1 · completed

This was a single-arm, open-label, unblinded study that tracked lipid biomarker levels before and after treatment in one group of patients, with no randomized or treated comparator arm and no statistical test of a treatment effect.

Next expected readout: January 2027 · NCT06945666 (registry estimate)

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upadacitinib · Rinvoq

Marketed by AbbVie

Approved in Rheumatoid ArthritisSmall molecule (JAK1-selective inhibitor)
Reliable signal

NCT02675426 · Phase 3 · completed

This was a randomized, quadruple-blind, placebo-controlled trial in 661 patients using two validated rheumatoid arthritis disease-activity measures as co-primary endpoints, and both upadacitinib doses produced significantly higher response rates than placebo on both measures (all comparisons p<0.001).

Next expected readout: March 2027 · NCT07636057 (registry estimate)

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Ulcerative Colitis

Shared mechanism: JAK · full Ulcerative Colitis pipeline

tofacitinib · Xeljanz

Marketed by Pfizer

Approved in Ulcerative ColitisSmall molecule (pan-JAK inhibitor)
Reliable signal

NCT01458951 · Phase 3 · completed

Design meets the 'strong' test: randomized, quadruple-blinded, placebo-controlled, adequately powered (429 vs 112), with a hard clinical/endoscopic composite primary endpoint (Mayo remission including endoscopic subscore) that was statistically significant in the favorable direction (p=0.0005, 13% absolute difference).

Next expected readout: March 2027 · NCT04624230 (registry estimate)

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upadacitinib · Rinvoq

Marketed by AbbVie

Approved in Ulcerative ColitisSmall molecule (JAK1-selective inhibitor)
Reliable signal

NCT02819635 · Phase 2/3 · completed

Randomized, quadruple-blinded, placebo-controlled, adequately powered (n=1302) trial with a hard clinical/endoscopic composite primary endpoint (Adapted Mayo Score remission, incorporating endoscopy); all primary comparisons across all three substudies and all active doses achieved statistical significance in the favorable direction (p<0.001 to 0.049), satisfying the 'strong' definition.

Next expected readout: March 2027 · NCT07546097 (registry estimate)

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The full competitive landscape for each asset (every same-race competitor with aligned evidence, sortable) is on the asset pages: tofacitinib's landscape · upadacitinib's landscape